THE İNFLUENCE OF CLIMATIC FACTORS ON AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN DRYLAND AREAS OF AZERBAIJAN

Abstract

Objectives: Agricultural production is realized through interaction with various natural-climatic factors and biological processes. The moist areas face more serious problems in this aspect. The purpose of the research is to determine the impact of climatic factors on agricultural production in such conditions to prepare proposals for reducing dependence on natural-climatic factors in moist lands.

Methods: Based on calculations in the moist areas of Azerbaijan., the dependence of production on agrotechnical measures and natural-climatic factors was determined quantitatively. Economic and statistical analyses, comparative analysis and forecasting methods are used in the investigation of the indicated issue. The tendency of yield changes depending on climate indicators was revealed with the help of the Exsell software package,. Additionally, with the help of the forecasting method, the linear dependence of productivity and the forecast for the next years were calculated. Empirical statistical data was taken from the State Statistics Committee of the Republic of Azerbaijan.

Findings: Since agricultural production interacts with various natural-climatic factors and biological processes, this sphere is considered a rather risky type of economic activity. Studying the impact of climatic factors on agricultural production, especially in dryland areas, is of particular importance in terms of production stability. In the article, the impact of climatic factors and, in parallel, agro-technical measures on the production of agricultural products and productivity is defined. The obtained results can be useful in terms of optimal evaluation of the current state of the agricultural area and creation of necessary conditions for the sustainable development of this sphere.

Novelty: The results obtained in the research enable to quantitatively evaluate the influence of natural-climatic factors on the production of agricultural products. At the same time, the used methodology provides a basis for the conclusion of the possibility of reducing dependence on natural-climatic factors, and allows predicting future changes in production.